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Um novo estudo da Mar Asset Management aponta que os evangélicos devem representar 36% da população brasileira já em 2026. Em 2022, esse número era de 32%, e a projeção segue em curva ascendente.
Atualmente, esse grupo religioso corresponde a cerca de 1 em cada 3 brasileiros, e o número permanece crescendo.
A pesquisa analisou dados do IBGE, Receita Federal e Congresso Nacional, cruzando com informações de institutos como o Datafolha e o Pew Research Center. O levantamento concluiu que, se a tendência continuar, os evangélicos devem ultraar os católicos como maior grupo religioso do país por volta de 2032.
O crescimento é mais acentuado entre os jovens de 15 a 29 anos, moradores de regiões periféricas dos grandes centros urbanos, nas regiões Norte e Centro-Oeste, entre mulheres e nas classes C e D.
O estudo pontua ainda que estados como Acre, Amazonas, Rondônia e Espírito Santo já têm maioria evangélica, com percentuais que variam entre 46% e 52%. As regiões Norte e Centro-Oeste lideram o crescimento proporcional, com 48% e 43%, respectivamente. Além disso, o número de igrejas evangélicas dobrou na última década, totalizando mais de 140 mil templos espalhados pelo país.
A pesquisa também projeta que os evangélicos têm influenciado significativamente o cenário eleitoral. De modo geral, o segmento avalia negativamente o governo atual e tende a apoiar candidatos alinhados a valores conservadores.
Além de questões de fé, essa mudança de perfil populacional tem impacto direto na política, na cultura e no consumo de mídia. A influência evangélica se acentua também nas redes sociais, na música, em eventos, no consumo de conteúdo cristão e no Congresso Nacional. Conforme os dados, a mudança não está concentrada apenas na alça religiosa, mas nos eixos sociais, culturais e estratégicos.
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